Texas
Buck Mike: Texas Partisan Index Evaluation of State Congressional Districts
Austin, Texas, 1 minute ago —
Texas Legislative TPI Rating
Now that the 88th regular session is over, attention will turn to the 2024 elections, with a long summer special session ahead. The presidential election will be the centerpiece, followed by the re-election of Senator Ted Cruz (Republican, Texas).
However, Republicans and Democrats’ no votes in the state legislature have many issues, including a handful of hard-fought seats that both parties want to keep or overturn.
Here’s an overview Texas Partisan Index (TPI) An evaluation (albeit in “nominal form”) of each state legislative seat as provisional begins.
TPI is the average of statewide election results in a given constituency over the last two election cycles.
House
| area | modern representative | TPI in 2022 | 2020 TPI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gary Vandever (R) | R-78% | R-75% |
| 2 | Vacancy | R-82% | R-81% |
| 3 | Cecil Bell Jr. (R) | R-79% | R-79% |
| Four | Keith Bell (R) | R-71% | R-72% |
| Five | Cole Hefner (R) | R-83% | R-81% |
| 6 | Matt Shaffer (R) | R-72% | R-70% |
| 7 | Jay Dean (R) | R-73% | R-71% |
| 8 | Cody Harris (R) | R-81% | R-79% |
| 9 | Trent Ashby (R) | R-79% | R-77% |
| Ten | Brian Harrison (R) | R-69% | R-70% |
| 11 | Travis Krady (R) | R-78% | R-76% |
| 12 | Kyle Kakal (R) | R-75% | R-72% |
| 13 | Angelia Orr (R) | R-75% | R-72% |
| 14 | John Rainey (R) | R-59% | R-58% |
| 15 | Steve Toth (R) | R-66% | R-67% |
| 16 | Will Metcalf (R) | R-80% | R-79% |
| 17 | Stan Gerdes (R) | R-65% | R-64% |
| 18 | Ernest Bailes (R) | R-84% | R-83% |
| 19 | Ellen Troxclair (R) | R-73% | R-73% |
| 20 | Terry Wilson (R) | R-59% | R-60% |
| twenty one | Dade Phelan (R) | R-80% | R-78% |
| twenty two | Christian Hayes (Democrat) | D-58% | D-61% |
| twenty three | Terry Leo Wilson (R) | R-63% | R-61% |
| twenty four | Greg Bonen (R) | R-69% | R-68% |
| twenty five | Kodi Vasut (R) | R-61% | R-61% |
| 26 | Jaycee Jetton (R) | R-60% | R-60% |
| 27 | Ron Reynolds (Democrat) | D-71% | D-72% |
| 28 | Gary Gates (R) | R-60% | R-59% |
| 29 | Ed Thompson (R) | R-61% | R-60% |
| 30 | Jeanie Morrison (R) | R-78% | R-76% |
| 31 | Ryan Gillen (R) | R-62% | R-57% |
| 32 | Todd Hunter (R) | R-62% | R-61% |
| 33 | Justin Holland (R) | R-64% | R-63% |
| 34 | Abel Herrero (Democrat) | D-54% | D-57% |
| 35 | Oscar Longoria (Democrat) | D-61% | D-67% |
| 36 | Sergio Munoz Jr. (Democrat) | D-61% | D-67% |
| 37 | Janie Lopez (R) | D-51% | D-53% |
| 38 | Erin Gamez (D) | D-65% | D-69% |
| 39 | Armando Martinez (D) | D-61% | D-65% |
| 40 | Terry Canales (D) | D-62% | D-67% |
| 41 | Bobby Guerra (Democrat) | D-56% | D-59% |
| 42 | Richard Peña Raymond (Democrat) | D-64% | D-67% |
| 43 | JM Lozano (R) | R-62% | R-59% |
| 44 | John Kempel (R) | R-66% | R-65% |
| 45 | Erin Zwiener (D) | D-58% | D-58% |
| 46 | Cheryl Cole (Democrat) | D-76% | D-76% |
| 47 | Vicky Goodwin (Democrat) | D-60% | D-58% |
| 48 | Donna Howard (Democrat) | D-70% | D-68% |
| 49 | Gina Hinojosa (D) | D-83% | D-82% |
| 50 | James Tallarico (Democrat) | D-77% | D-76% |
| 51 | Maria Luisa Flores (D) | D-83% | D-84% |
| 52 | Caroline Harris (R) | R-55% | R-55% |
| 53 | Andrew Ma (R) | R-79% | R-78% |
| 54 | Brad Buckley (R) | R-58% | R-55% |
| 55 | Hugh Shine (R) | R-58% | R-57% |
| 56 | Doc Anderson (R) | R-69% | R-68% |
| 57 | Richard Hayes (R) | R-60% | R-60% |
| 58 | Dwayne Barnes (R) | R-79% | R-78% |
| 59 | Shelby Slawson (R) | R-80% | R-79% |
| 60 | Glenn Rogers (R) | R-84% | R-84% |
| 61 | Frederick Frazier (R) | R-58% | R-58% |
| 62 | Reggie Smith (R) | R-79% | R-78% |
| 63 | Ben Bumgarner (R) | R-57% | R-57% |
| 64 | Lynn Stucky (R) | R-63% | R-62% |
| 65 | Kronda Timesh (R) | R-59% | R-58% |
| 66 | Matt Shaheen (R) | R-59% | R-59% |
| 67 | Jeff Leach (R) | R-58% | R-58% |
| 68 | David Spiller (R) | R-87% | R-86% |
| 69 | James Frank (R) | R-79% | R-77% |
| 70 | Michaela Plesa (Democrat) | D-52% | flat |
| 71 | Stan Lambert (R) | R-79% | R-78% |
| 72 | Drew Darby (R) | R-79% | R-78% |
| 73 | Carrie Isaac (R) | R-71% | R-71% |
| 74 | Eddie Morales Jr. (Democrat) | D-53% | D-58% |
| 75 | Mary Gonzales (D) | D-66% | D-72% |
| 76 | Sleman Lalani (Democrat) | D-59% | D-61% |
| 77 | Lina Ortega (D) | D-75% | D-78% |
| 78 | Joe Moody (D) | D-58% | D-61% |
| 79 | Claudia Ordaz Perez (Democrat) | D-66% | D-69% |
| 80 | Tracy King (Democrat) | R-51% | D-53% |
| 81 | Brooks Landgraf (R) | R-76% | R-73% |
| 82 | Tom Craddick (R) | R-81% | R-79% |
| 83 | Dustin Burrows (R) | R-80% | R-78% |
| 84 | Carl Tepper (R) | R-62% | R-60% |
| 85 | Stan Kitzman (R) | R-72% | R-68% |
| 86 | John Smithee (R) | R-83% | R-82% |
| 87 | Four Price (R) | R-80% | R-78% |
| 88 | Ken King (R) | R-86% | R-84% |
| 89 | Candy Noble (R) | R-59% | R-60% |
| 90 | Ramon Romero Jr. (R) | D-68% | D-70% |
| 91 | Stephanie Crick (R) | R-62% | R-63% |
| 92 | Salman Bhojani (Democrat) | D-59% | D-60% |
| 93 | Nate Schatzlein (R) | R-60% | R-60% |
| 94 | Tony Tinderholt (R) | R-57% | R-58% |
| 95 | Nicole Collier (R) | D-75% | D-76% |
| 96 | David Cook (R) | R-57% | R-58% |
| 97 | Craig Goldman (R) | R-58% | R-59% |
| 98 | Giovanni Capriglione (R) | R-66% | R-67% |
| 99 | Charlie Jellen (R) | R-61% | R-60% |
| 100 | Benton Jones (Democrat) | D-84% | D-85% |
| 101 | Chris Turner (Democrat) | D-67% | D-67% |
| 102 | Ana Maria Ramos (Democrat) | D-63% | D-63% |
| 103 | Raphael Anchia (D) | D-72% | D-72% |
| 104 | Jessica Gonzalez (D) | D-68% | D-70% |
| 105 | Terry Meza (Democrat) | D-58% | D-60% |
| 106 | Jared Patterson (R) | R-60% | R-61% |
| 107 | Victoria Neve (Democrat) | D-63% | D-64% |
| 108 | Morgan Meyer (R) | R-57% | R-59% |
| 109 | Karl Sherman Jr. (Democrat) | D-79% | D-80% |
| 110 | Toni Rose (D) | D-86% | D-87% |
| 111 | Yvonne Davis (Democrat) | D-79% | D-79% |
| 112 | Angie Chen Button (D) | R-53% | R-55% |
| 113 | Letta Bowers (D) | D-58% | D-59% |
| 114 | John Bryant (Democrat) | D-66% | D-65% |
| 115 | Julie Johnson (Democrat) | D-56% | D-55% |
| 116 | Trey Martinez Fisher (Democrat) | D-68% | D-68% |
| 117 | Philip Cortez (Democrat) | D-61% | D-62% |
| 118 | John LeJean (R) | R-50% | flat |
| 119 | Elizabeth Campos (Democrat) | D-64% | D-66% |
| 120 | Barbara Garvin Hawkins (Democrat) | D-67% | D-67% |
| 121 | Steve Allison (R) | R-54% | R-56% |
| 122 | Mark Dorazio (R) | R-58% | R-60% |
| one two three | Diego Bernal (D) | D-65% | D-65% |
| 124 | Josie Garcia (Democrat) | D-67% | D-68% |
| 125 | Ray Lopez (Democrat) | D-61% | D-61% |
| 126 | Sam Harless (R) | R-62% | R-62% |
| 127 | Charles Cunningham (R) | R-61% | R-61% |
| 128 | Brisco Kane (R) | R-70% | R-69% |
| 129 | Dennis Paul (R) | R-60% | R-59% |
| 130 | Tom Oliverson (R) | R-70% | R-69% |
| 131 | Alma Allen (D) | D-80% | D-83% |
| 132 | Mike Scofield (R) | R-59% | R-60% |
| 133 | Mano Deayara (R) | R-58% | R-57% |
| 134 | Ann Johnson (Democrat) | D-58% | D-57% |
| 135 | John Rosenthal (Democrat) | D-59% | D-62% |
| 136 | John Busey (Democrat) | D-62% | D-60% |
| 137 | Jean Wu (D) | D-63% | D-66% |
| 138 | Lacey Hull (R) | R-57% | R-56% |
| 139 | Jarvis Johnson (Democrat) | D-72% | D-75% |
| 140 | Armand Walle (Democrat) | D-69% | D-74% |
| 141 | Semfronia Thompson (Democrat) | D-82% | D-84% |
| 142 | Harold Dutton Jr. (Democrat) | D-74% | D-76% |
| 143 | Ana Hernandez (Democrat) | D-65% | D-69% |
| 144 | Mary Ann Perez (Democrat) | D-55% | D-59% |
| 145 | Christina Morales (Democrat) | D-69% | D-71% |
| 146 | Sean Thierry (D) | D-79% | D-79% |
| 147 | Jolanda Jones (Democrat) | D-78% | D-79% |
| 148 | The Penny Morales Show (Democrat) | D-56% | D-59% |
| 149 | Hubert Vo (D) | D-62% | D-65% |
| 150 | Valorie Swanson (R) | R-60% | R-60% |
Senate
| area | current senator | TPI in 2022 | 2020 TPI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Hughes (R) | R-77% | R-75% |
| 2 | Bob Hall (R) | R-61% | R-60% |
| 3 | Robert Nichols (R) | R-76% | R-73% |
| Four | Brandon Clayton (R) | R-69% | R-68% |
| Five | Charles Schwertner (R) | R-62% | R-62% |
| 6 | Carol Alvarado (D) | D-66% | D-70% |
| 7 | Paul Bettencourt (R) | R-62% | R-61% |
| 8 | Angela Paxton (R) | R-60% | R-60% |
| 9 | Kelly Hancock (R) | R-59% | R-59% |
| Ten | Phil King (R) | R-61% | R-60% |
| 11 | Mays Middleton (R) | R-61% | R-60% |
| 12 | Tampa Car (R) | R-60% | R-60% |
| 13 | Boris Miles (D) | D-78% | D-80% |
| 14 | Sarah Eckhart (D) | D-75% | D-74% |
| 15 | John Whitmayer (Democrat) | D-63% | D-64% |
| 16 | Nathan Johnson (Democrat) | D-62% | D-62% |
| 17 | Joan Huffman (R) | R-63% | R-62% |
| 18 | Lois Korkhorst (R) | R-63% | R-61% |
| 19 | Roland Gutierrez (D) | D-55% | D-57% |
| 20 | Juan Hinojosa (Democrat) | D-55% | D-59% |
| twenty one | Judith Zafilini (Democrat) | D-59% | D-62% |
| twenty two | Brian Bardwell (R) | R-64% | R-63% |
| twenty three | Lois West (D) | D-77% | D-78% |
| twenty four | Pete Flores (R) | R-63% | R-62% |
| twenty five | Donna Campbell (R) | R-62% | R-63% |
| 26 | Jose Menendez (Democrat) | D-65% | D-65% |
| 27 | Morgan Lamantia (D) | D-52% | D-56% |
| 28 | Charles Perry (R) | R-77% | R-75% |
| 29 | Cesar Blanco (Democrat) | D-64% | D-68% |
| 30 | Drew Springer (R) | R-65% | R-64% |
| 31 | Kevin Sparks (R) | R-81% | R-80% |
https://thetexan.news/the-back-mic-the-texas-partisan-index-ratings-of-state-legislature-districts/ Buck Mike: Texas Partisan Index Evaluation of State Congressional Districts
