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What is behind the promotion of the fourth stimulus check

The IRS has made approximately 161 million payments in the third round of direct stimulation assistance, with 2 million people expected to receive a $ 1,400 check this week. However, some lawmakers are pushing for a fourth round of stimulus aid that will effectively send regular payments until the end of the pandemic.

So far, the federal government’s response to the economic crisis caused by Coronavirus pandemic We provided $ 3,200 to each eligible adult. $ 1,200 under the Coronavirus Aid Relief and Economic Security Act of March 2020. $ 600 for December bailouts. $ 1,400 based on the US rescue program signed by President Joe Biden in March.

Despite its financial support, millions of Americans are still in financial difficulty, with four in ten their incomes below pre-pandemic levels, according to a study by financial services firm TransUnion. It states that it is. Unemployment is still rising, especially in low-wage industries such as the food service industry and hospitality, where demand is still lagging amid rising coronavirus outbreaks. The Kaiser Family Foundation said in a February poll that one in three Americans had a hard time covering basic living expenses in the last three months.

In short, for many, the latest $ 1,400 check may not last long — the problem is The hearts of many Americans People who continue to suffer from unemployment and a weak labor market. As of Monday, more than 2 million people have signed a Change.org petition launched last year. The petition requires lawmakers to pass a bill on a $ 2,000 monthly recurring payment bill.

Some lawmakers have adopted that idea. Twenty-one senators (all Democrats) signed a March 30 letter to Mr. Biden in favor of regular stimulus payments, and the $ 1,400 payment distributed by the IRS made people longer. I pointed out that I wouldn’t drag.

“Nearly six out of ten say that the $ 1,400 payment set to be included in the rescue package will last for less than three months,” the senator wrote in a letter.


Many Americans put stimuli into stocks …

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The letter does not specify the amount of payment the Senator is seeking, but an effort separate from the January Democrats. push You will need a $ 2,000 check each month until the pandemic is over. Instead, the American Rescue Plan approved $ 1,400 per eligible adult and dependent.

So far, people who have received three rounds of incentives have used most of their money to repay their debts or suck up their savings, according to a new analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. This may indicate that people are using that money to reduce the debt incurred during the pandemic and to build emergency funds in the event of another shock. ..

Still, according to a February survey by Bloomberg / Morning Consult, many said they plan to use stimulus funding as a basis. Food and housing costs were cited as the top two uses for the third stimulus check after savings.

According to Bankrate.com, about 7 out of 10 Americans who have received or believe they will receive a third payment are important to their short-term finances. Overall, the proportion of people in need of additional assistance has been more than a year, although the pandemic has dropped from about eight to ten in March 2020, which caused widespread unemployment, according to personal finance companies. But it’s rising.

According to a survey, one in three people found that stimulation assistance helps help less than a month.

From salary still alive to salary

Some top economists are seeking more direct help from Americans. More than 150 economists, including former Obama administration economist Jason Furman, signed a letter last year claiming “repeated payments of direct stimulus that will continue until the economy recovers.”

The economy is improving, Rapid increase in hiring last month, Millions of people continue to suffer from reduced incomes and are unable to take advantage of government aid programs, said Greg Nasif, political director of Humanity Forward. According to a March survey by economist Eliza Forsythe, only four out of ten unemployed workers actually received unemployment assistance.


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Many didn’t apply for unemployment benefits because they didn’t think they were eligible, but others may have given up because of long wait times or other issues.

“You’ll see reports on how the economy is starting to grow, but there are many Americans who live on salaries, and for many of them the government bailout program couldn’t help. “Nashif said.

How likely is the fourth stimulus check?

Don’t hold your breath, according to Wall Street analysts. “I don’t think it’s likely at this point,” Raymond James analyst Ed Mills told CNBC.One reason is that the Biden administration is focusing on its progress. $ 2 trillion infrastructure planReshape the economy by rebuilding dilapidated schools, roads and airports and investing in projects ranging from affordable housing to broadband.

The White House’s proposal to raise corporate tax rates from 21% to 28% has provided most Americans with a $ 1,400 check for opposition from both Republicans and Republicans. May be “difficult to pass” than the bill Some Democrats pointed out last month, Stiffel’s Washington policy strategist Brian Gardner.

Still, according to Politico-Harvard’s new poll, only about one-third of Americans believe that the American rescue program will help them a lot. This suggests that some households feel they need more help to survive the coming months.

This summer, many households will receive some form of additional inspirational assistance when families with children under the age of 18 receive direct payments for six months through a revised child tax credit. From July to December, families with children under the age of 6 receive $ 300 per month, and families with children between the ages of 6 and 17 receive $ 250 per child per month.

“Many people will be surprised when the first check arrives,” Nasif said. “It will obviously join the surge in check popularity.”

In the case of Mr. Biden, the family may enjoy more tax cuts in the coming years American family planning Move forward. Under that plan, the expansion of child tax credits will continue until 2025, giving families a larger tax credit for their children for an additional four years.

Vaccination rebound

At the same time, the economy is expected to recover this year due to higher COVID-19 vaccination rates and the reopening of the state. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon predicted in an annual letter to shareholders last week that the business cycle would boom. May last until 2023..

“”[W]i-th excess savings, new stimulus savings, huge deficit spending, etc. [quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve], New potential infrastructure bills, successful vaccines and euphoria towards the end of the pandemic, the US economy will probably be booming. This boom can easily occur by 2023, as all spending could grow well by 2023, “Dimon wrote in a letter on April 7.

This can weaken the reason for the government to provide more direct assistance, especially when the unemployment rate recovers and more workers are out of the bystander.

By the end of the year, the country’s unemployment rate could drop to 4.3%, according to Oxford Economics. Still, with 4 million workers from the workforce, the road to recovery remains “long”, Oxford economists Oren Klachkin and Gregory Daco said in a study note.

“Looking into the future, the labor market is making a remarkable move as vaccine distribution, increased resumptions and fiscal stimulus are driving employment spikes,” they predict.

What is behind the promotion of the fourth stimulus check

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