JD Vance, Tim Ryan virtually tie in new Ohio Senate poll

With less than two months left until Election Day, Ohio’s U.S. Senate Election in Focus It’s far from final.

a USA TODAY Network Ohio/Suffolk University Poll released on monday JD Vance When US Congressman Tim Ryan Real tie in retirement successor battle Republican Senator Rob PortmanDemocrats held a slight lead at 46.6% compared to 45.6% of voters who planned to support Vance.

About 6% of voters were undecided.

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The result is within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.4%, suggesting a chance to win the seat at this point in the game.also mirrored Other independent research implementation in the last few weeks This indicates that there will be intense competition for the peak of the campaign season.

Polls polled 500 potential voters in Ohio between Sept. 5 and Sept. 7.

Republicans Increase Spending to Help Bunce

The poll comes as Vance and his allies are spending more to counter Ryan. Senate Leadership FundFor example, it announced that it would spend $28 million in Buckeye state and withdrew money from Arizona partly because of “unexpected expenses in Ohio.” Reported by PoliticoElections in Ohio could help determine which party controls the Senate, which is currently split between Democrats and Republicans.

Vance’s campaign made the first statewide TV ad buy for last week’s general election. According to Medium Buyan ad tracking company based in Columbus.

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“Republicans are being forced to defend a campaign they thought they didn’t have to,” said editor-in-chief Kyle Kondik. sabbath crystal ball and University of Virginia.

Why Tim Ryan is targeting independent voters

Ryan spent most of his campaign target independent voters To counter the Democratic Party’s loss to the former President Donald Trump, especially among white rural Ohioans.Vance and other critics are quick to point out that he voted for President Joe Biden’s agenda 100% chancebut Ryan largely avoided Biden during the president’s visit to Ohio. Intel’s New Factory Groundbreaking in Licking County with the president on Friday.

Polls show Ryan is favored by independent voters, with 12% of Republicans supporting him.

David Palaiologos, director of the Center for Political Studies at Suffolk University, said: “Ryan shows both solidarity within the party and crossover capability. enough.

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Still, the election could change quickly, and Vance has some key indicators.

A poll found that 53% of Ohioans don’t support Biden, and 42% want the country to go in a different direction than the president has taken. This gives Vance a chance to set himself up for the Biden administration and Democrats, including Ryan, who endorse Biden’s policies.

Vance is more popular among voters concerned about the economy and inflation, which remains a top concern for Ohioans. He also increased his popularity among independents and people of color.

Haley BeMiller is a reporter for the USA TODAY network Ohio Bureau serving the Columbus Dispatch, the Cincinnati Enquirer, the Akron Beacon Journal, and 18 affiliated news organizations in Ohio.