Richmond, Virginia – Virginia’s longtime Republican Senator Richard Stuart received a three-day notice this summer to help organize a weekday campaign event for GOP candidate Glenn Youngkin.
His surprise and joy revealed about 200 people from his entire district, extending from the suburbs of Washington to the more rural communities. The crowd is a businessman and political newcomer Yongkin who wants to break the 12-year Republican defeat in state-wide elections and protect Democratic candidate and former governor Terry McAuliffe from the second term. I wanted to meet you.
“I remember, I feel more enthusiasm than I’ve seen for Republican candidates across the state,” said Stuart, who has represented his district since 2008.
This kind of powerful show, coupled with several new polls, has been heavily shut out by the state government in recent years as one of the most competitive and expensive political battles of the year lasts for the last six weeks. We are strengthening the optimistic view among the members. And while Democrats are confident they’re still at the top, some of McCorriff’s supporters are nervous.
“This election seems closer than we want,” said Virginia Conservation, an influential group in favor of McCorriff, spending a lot of money to support the Democratic Party almost exclusively. Michaeltown, the secretary-general of the Voters’ Federation, said. The advantage of enthusiasm. “
McCorriff, who was in office from 2014 to 2018 and fled in the Democratic primary in June, has generally led polls, but recent polls may have intensified competition. A poll conducted this month by the Washington Post and George Mason University’s Shar Policy Government School showed that McCorriff favored 47% of Youngkin and 50% of voters.
To win, Yongkin will have to overcome some vulnerabilities in this increasingly calm state. Democrats say Yongkin is too extreme on this issue, as the US Supreme Court is considering the future of abortion rights. And Democrats are doing everything they can to connect Yongkin to former President Donald Trump, who is widely unpopular in northern Virginia where the race may be decided.
Trump may have given Yongkin some benefits this week by encouraging him to support his agenda.
“Only those who accept the MAGA movement have won,” Trump told the John Fredericks Radio Show when discussing Yonkin’s candidacy.
However, Virginia Republicans are happy with Yonkin, partly because he thinks Yonkin is the type of candidate he can win. A tall and sophisticated former investment executive cast himself as a realistic family man.
More practically, he has spent much of this year avoiding some of the most controversial cultural war issues that Republicans in other parts of the country have embraced.
This is a shift from other Republicans seeking state-wide positions in recent years. In 2017, Ed Gillespie ran for governor as a candidate for establishment before severely changing immigration policy and the status of Navy statues. He lost nearly 9 percent to Democrat Ralph Northam.
The following year, immigrant hardliner Corey Stewart, who defended the “heritage of the Southern Army,” won the Republican nomination in the US Senate and was gracefully defeated by Democrat Tim Kaine.
Garen Shipley, a longtime Republican and spokesman for the House Caucus, said the other Republicans on this year’s ballot were keen on campaigning with Yongkin.
“No one wants to be seen on stage with Glen Yongkin,” he said.
Elections can depend on voters approving how Democrats controlled Virginia.
The Democratic Party has taken full control of the state government in the 2019 elections, following a significant increase in 2017. Since then, the Democratic Party has passed a series of progressive laws that were unthinkable just a few years ago, abolishing the death penalty and mandating and legalizing utilities to move to renewable energy. Increased marijuana, LGBTQ protection, and relaxed abortion restrictions.
The challenge now is to ensure that Democrats are as excited to vote to protect these interests, just as they would send a message to Trump.
“From my point of view on climate change and climate change, all the important progress we have made can be lost in the heartbeat of November 2,” Town said.
The election is almost certainly considered an early referendum for President Joe Biden’s first year. McCorriff’s defeat will send a big signal to the Democrats that parliamentary rule is at serious risk in next year’s midterm elections.
Democrats cheered on the results in California this month, and Governor Gavin Newsom easily defeated his efforts to leave him early. Like Newsom, McCorriff is trying to emphasize his opponent’s relationship with Trump and his opposition to pandemic prophylaxis. Recently, he accused Yongkin of opposition to his vaccination and mask obligations.
“The Governor of Virginia’s competition is fierce and will always be. Terry has run a campaign laser focused on the issues that Virginia’s people are most interested in. Vaccine for economics, education, and Virginia. Ending this pandemic by getting vaccinated, “said a spokeswoman for the McCorriff campaign.
According to McCorriff’s campaign, their path to victory is to stay in northern Virginia and other suburbs and mobilize a community of colors. Republicans need to cut their edges outside Washington and in other urban areas, including the capital Richmond, and maintain turnout in rural fortresses.
“Republicans are undoubtedly enthusiastic, but few,” said former Democratic House member Albert Pollard.
Yongkin spokeswoman McCawley Porter said Virginians “want to move on.”
“The Democratic Party is nervous that Terry McAuliffe is the only governor who has failed and is excited about 40-year-old politician Terry McAuliffe,” she said.
Several structural factors appear to be helping Republicans this year, including a long-standing pattern of Virginia voters opposition to the party that controls the White House during their extraordinary extra-year governor elections. I am. (In particular, McCorriff countered that trend with his 2013 victory.)
Yongkin, a wealthy former co-CEO of The Carlyle Group, is the largest donor of his campaign. He has already invested at least $ 17.5 million in his own campaign, according to financial records maintained by the nonpartisan Virginia Public Access Project.
According to accounting for a federal disclosure form edited by Cantermedia and issued by VPAP, he has so far outperformed McCorriff, a phenomenal and connected fundraising activity in television advertising spending, but McCorriff is a campaign. Participated in favor of the last two months of. Cash on hand.
Ballots that can pull voters away from McCorriff include princess branding, a progressive activist and third-party candidate. And Yongkin could be helped by Trump, a candidate not on the ballot.
“Glenn Youngkin has the best atmosphere you can really ask for as a Republican,” said Democratic strategist Ben Trivet, who understands why Democrats are currently concerned. He added that he would not be in a hurry.
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Democratic pressure increases in Virginia Governor election
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